Will Josh Kerr win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?
Yes
3%
No
97%
24h change
+0.4 pts
- Volume
- $542
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $3.1K
- Updated
- Oct 29, 2026 · 10:10 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to the athlete who wins the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award.
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the winner whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the winner whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.