Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
24h change
+0.1 pts
- Volume
- $36.2K
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $225.7K
- Updated
- Oct 19, 2026 · 01:40 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.
A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.
A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.