Will Elon Musk appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial?
Yes
6%
No
94%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $1.9K
- 24h volume
- $1.9K
- Liquidity
- $1.8K
- Updated
- Nov 13, 2026 · 07:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual appears in an advertisement during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The listed individual must appear in video form; voice-only appearances will not independently qualify. Archival footage, lookalikes, and AI-generated or digitally created likenesses will not count.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The listed individual must appear in video form; voice-only appearances will not independently qualify. Archival footage, lookalikes, and AI-generated or digitally created likenesses will not count.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.