Will Brillian Kipkoech win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?
Yes
3%
No
98%
24h change
-1.6 pts
- Volume
- $97
- 24h volume
- $37
- Liquidity
- $3.6K
- Updated
- Oct 10, 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve according to the listed athlete who wins the 2026 Women’s Chicago Marathon.
If this athlete is eliminated from contention for winning this event based on the official rules of the Chicago Marathon, this market will resolve to “No.”
In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If an unlisted athlete wins the 2026 Women’s Chicago Marathon, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no winner is announced by October 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source will be the first official results published by the Chicago Marathon (https://www.chicagomarathon.com/results/).
If this athlete is eliminated from contention for winning this event based on the official rules of the Chicago Marathon, this market will resolve to “No.”
In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If an unlisted athlete wins the 2026 Women’s Chicago Marathon, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no winner is announced by October 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source will be the first official results published by the Chicago Marathon (https://www.chicagomarathon.com/results/).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.