Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?

  • Crypto
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2028
Yes 48%
No 53%
24h change -3 pts
Volume
$16.3K
24h volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$25.9K
Updated
Nov 15, 2026 · 17:05 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
  • Bitcoin
  • Crypto
  • Crypto Prices
  • Price Milestone

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.