Will Atiku Abubakar win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 16, 2027
Yes 1%
No 99%
24h change -4.5 pts
Volume
$3K
24h volume
$899
Liquidity
$9.7K
Updated
Nov 6, 2026 · 07:55 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
  • africa
  • Elections
  • Global Elections
  • Main Election
  • Nigeria
  • Nigerian Election
  • Politics
  • World Elections

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.