Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Yes
6%
No
94%
24h change
+0.5 pts
- Volume
- $141
- 24h volume
- $21
- Liquidity
- $10.9K
- Updated
- Oct 13, 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
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Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner.
If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner.
If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.