Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Dec 31, 2026
  • 55 days left
Yes 57%
No 43%
24h change -7.5 pts
Volume
$12.6K
24h volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$14.3K
Updated
Nov 5, 2026 · 15:35 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • 2028 Election
  • Celebrities
  • Elections
  • Politics
  • President

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.