US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?

  • Finance
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Yes >99%
No <1%
24h change +11.4 pts
Volume
$8.8K
24h volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Updated
Oct 27, 2026 · 04:10 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) adds CVE-2026-109618 or CVE-2026-109619 (the critical PHP vulnerabilities known as “PHP2Shell”) to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) Catalog by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The addition of either CVE will qualify. If either CVE has already been added to the KEV Catalog at the time this market is created, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The “Date Added” shown for the relevant entry in the KEV Catalog will be used to determine whether the addition occurred within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog (https://www.cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog); however, official CISA announcements and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • Business
  • hack
  • PHP
  • PHP2Shell
  • Politics
  • Tech

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.