Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 5?
Yes
51%
No
49%
24h change
+0.5 pts
- Volume
- $0
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $3
- Updated
- Oct 12, 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Merab Dvalishvili defeats Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 5, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.