Fight to Go the Distance?
Yes
74%
No
27%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $78
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $3.6K
- Updated
- Oct 9, 2026 · 20:05 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Melissa Gatto and Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.