Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
-31.5 pts
- Volume
- $0
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $28.1K
- Updated
- Oct 18, 2026 · 02:20 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Cristian Pérez at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification.
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.