Will the fight end before Round 3?

  • Sports
  • Open
  • Resolves Oct 11, 2026
  • 1 days left
Yes 52%
No 49%
24h change -0.5 pts
Volume
$0
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.3K
Updated
Oct 9, 2026 · 19:05 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jai Herbert and Matheus Camilo at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes."

If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
  • Games
  • Sports
  • UFC

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.