Will the fight end before Round 3?
Yes
52%
No
49%
24h change
-0.5 pts
- Volume
- $0
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $5.3K
- Updated
- Oct 9, 2026 · 19:05 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jai Herbert and Matheus Camilo at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes."
If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes."
If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.