Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?

  • Other
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 8, 2027
Yes 12%
No 88%
24h change -7.3 pts
Volume
$3.2K
24h volume
$731
Liquidity
$1K
Updated
Oct 13, 2026 · 12:02 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.

If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
  • Precipitation
  • Recurring
  • Weather

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.