Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026?

  • Crypto
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Yes 100%
No 0%
24h change +94.9 pts
Volume
$21.9K
24h volume
$20.4K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Updated
Oct 30, 2026 · 03:30 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks

The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026.

If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used.

If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
  • Crypto
  • hack
  • protocol-risk
  • Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.