OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
9%
No
92%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $325.4K
- 24h volume
- $7.1K
- Liquidity
- $31.2K
- Updated
- Oct 18, 2026 · 04:26 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.