New pandemic in 2026?
Yes
6%
No
95%
24h change
+1 pts
- Volume
- $1.2M
- 24h volume
- $16.1K
- Liquidity
- $34.9K
- Updated
- Oct 9, 2026 · 15:40 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.