Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Paris, France?
Yes
47%
No
53%
24h change
+16 pts
- Volume
- $15.6K
- 24h volume
- $10.1K
- Liquidity
- $11.8K
- Updated
- Nov 4, 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
The 2026 Paris, France tennis tournament is scheduled for October 31–November 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.