Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
Yes
8%
No
93%
24h change
-1.1 pts
- Volume
- $1.2K
- 24h volume
- $101
- Liquidity
- $2.3K
- Updated
- Oct 12, 2026 · 14:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.