Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Yes
61%
No
40%
24h change
-3.5 pts
- Volume
- $15.7K
- 24h volume
- $5.8K
- Liquidity
- $1.6K
- Updated
- Oct 14, 2026 · 00:20 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An "official trailer" is defined as a video whose own title or description, as posted by Rockstar Games or one of its official accounts, explicitly labels it as a trailer for the game. A reference to the video as a "trailer" elsewhere, such as in a social media caption separate from the video's own title/description, a post announcing the video, or third-party/press coverage, will not qualify on its own if the video's own title or description does not carry that label. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless they meet this labelling requirement.
This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
An "official trailer" is defined as a video whose own title or description, as posted by Rockstar Games or one of its official accounts, explicitly labels it as a trailer for the game. A reference to the video as a "trailer" elsewhere, such as in a social media caption separate from the video's own title/description, a post announcing the video, or third-party/press coverage, will not qualify on its own if the video's own title or description does not carry that label. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless they meet this labelling requirement.
This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.