Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Yes
98%
No
2%
24h change
+60.2 pts
- Volume
- $5.1K
- 24h volume
- $3K
- Liquidity
- $6.6K
- Updated
- Oct 29, 2026 · 23:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.
If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.
If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.