Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?

  • Crypto
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Yes 98%
No 2%
24h change +60.2 pts
Volume
$5.1K
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Updated
Oct 29, 2026 · 23:50 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.

If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
  • Crypto
  • hack
  • protocol-risk

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.